Quotes by: Nate Silver

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The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before.
Nate Silver
Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak.
Nate Silver
To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.'
Nate Silver
Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him.
Nate Silver
I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being.
Nate Silver
Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office.
Nate Silver
When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake.
Nate Silver
You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects.
Nate Silver
When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen.
Nate Silver
We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that.
Nate Silver
People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it.
Nate Silver
You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast.
Nate Silver
Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public.
Nate Silver
I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil.
Nate Silver
First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views.
Nate Silver
If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't.
Nate Silver
I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week.
Nate Silver
If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring.
Nate Silver
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